Wednesday, November 9, 2016

Fun with Numbers: Thirds

The 2016 presidential election returns, and playing the what-if game ~

Look at what would happen if all the people who voted for Johnson (Libertarian) and Stein (Green) had voted for Hillary Clinton instead:
  • FLORIDA (29 electoral votes): Winning margin Agent Orange 118770, combined vote third party candidates 270026. New total: Hillary by 151256.
  • PENNSYLVANIA (20 electoral votes): Winning margin Agent Orange 28236, combined third party candidates 191565. New total: Hillary by 163329.
  • WISCONSIN (10 electoral votes): Winning margin Agent Orange 24257, combined third party candidates 137422. New total: Hillary by 113165.
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE (4 electoral votes): Current margin Agent Orange 1437, combined third party candidates 36622. New total: Hillary by 35185.
Add the 63 additional EC votes in those four states to Clinton's actual 228, and she wins the election with 291. Over the next four years, the DNC needs to find a way to slice off big chunks of Libertarian and Green Party votes in key battleground states.

PS: The political polling industry is as fucked up as Donald Trump. They've tricked me with their bullshit numbers for the last time.

PPS:  Hillary Clinton apparently won New Hampshire after all the votes were counted.

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